Credit Trends Research, Reports & Market Analysis

Global Credit Conditions, Lending Behavior, and Systemic Risk Q4 2025 marks a transition phase in global credit conditions. Central banks began easing policy as growth slowed and labor markets weakened, while long-term sovereign yields remained elevated due to fiscal and inflation risk premia. Credit supply expanded across households and corporates, demand strengthened unevenly, and defaults…

Q3 2025 shows tightening credit availability, higher delinquency pressure across unsecured products, and rising borrower bifurcation. At the macro level, credit demand softened as tariffs lifted durable-goods prices, labor-market sentiment weakened, and lenders kept underwriting conservative. Private credit conditions remained stable but cautious, with rising dispersion across asset classes. At the micro level, auto delinquencies…

Q2 2025 shows a credit system operating under slower expansion, rising segment-level stress, and widening performance gaps across borrower cohorts. At the macro level, household debt growth moderated as inflation persisted, tariff effects lifted durable-goods prices, and lenders maintained cautious underwriting. Mortgage performance deteriorated further, refinancing volume increased, and home-equity extraction accelerated among older, equity-rich…

Q1 2025 marks a period of uneven credit performance across U.S. households. Total household debt reached $18.20 trillion, driven primarily by mortgage balances. Nonrevolving and revolving credit expanded but at the slowest pace in several years. Prime borrowers remained financially stable, while subprime and younger households showed rising repayment stress. The sharpest adjustment occurred in…